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Impacts of climate change on Chinese agriculture: modelling the interaction of climate change: water availability and socio-economic scenarios on cereal production

Declan Conway-2011-01-01-UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia)
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TL;DRAbstract

The project, Impacts of Climate Change on Chinese Agriculture, sought to understand how climate change will affect rural China.Phase I (2001Phase I ( -2004) ) of this joint UK/China collaboration examined the impact of climate change on crop yields.Phase II (2005II ( -2008) ) built on this work to investigate the impacts of climate change on national cereal production and the cereal quantities available to each person in China to 2100.This pamphlet gives an overview of the main findings of Phase II relating to the modelling of the interaction of the separate effects of climate change, population growth, technological progress, water availability and the direct effects of carbon dioxide on cereal production. Modellingthe interaction of climate change: water availability and socio-economic scenarios on cereal production Climate Scenarios Changes in temperature, precipitation, solar radiation Direct Effects of CO 2 Socio-economic Scenarios GDP, population, water demand, land use

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The project, Impacts of Climate Change on Chinese Agriculture, sought to understand how climate change will affect rural China.Phase I (2001Phase I ( -2004) ) of this joint UK/China collaboration examined the impact of climate change on crop yields.Phase II (2005II ( -2008) ) built on this work to investigate the impacts of climate change on national cereal production and the cereal quantities available to each person in China to 2100.This pamphlet gives an overview of the main findings of Phase II relating to the modelling of the interaction of the separate effects of climate change, population growth, technological progress, water availability and the direct effects of carbon dioxide on cereal production. Modellingthe interaction of climate change: water availability and socio-economic scenarios on cereal production Climate Scenarios Changes in temperature, precipitation, solar radiation Direct Effects of CO 2 Socio-economic Scenarios GDP, population, water demand, land use

Keywords

Climate changeAgricultureProduction (economics)Environmental scienceAgricultural productivityNatural resource economicsAgroforestryEnvironmental resource management

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