Modelling forest fire weather risk in Continental Portugal

TL;DRAbstract

Along with other Southern European countries, Portugal has, each year, enormous damages resulting directly and/or indirectly from forest fire activity, with obvious ecological, financial and social implications. In the last thirty years, more than 3 million hectares of the Portuguese territory have been burnt, placing Portugal on the top-five European Countries most affected by forest fires. Prevention and planning arise as one the most important strategies to minimize the consequences of these hazardous events. To fulfil those goals, information, either to be used by decision makers or for public awareness plays a major role. Thus, the importance of the development and use of different forest fire danger estimation systems is clearly obvious. The Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System (FWI), developed by the Canadian Forestry Service is based on daily values of temperature, relative humidity, wind at noon and 24-hour accumulated precipitation and is used to estimate the fire risk i

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