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Open AccessDissertation10.25440/smu.12310115.v1

Essays on high-frequency financial econometrics

Shouwei Liu-2020-01-01-Figshare

TL;DRAbstract

My dissertation consists of three essays which contribute new theoretical and em- pirical results to Volatility Estimation and Market Microstructure theory as well as Risk Management. Chapter 2 extends the ACD-ICV method proposed by Tse and Yang (2012) for the estimation of intraday volatility of stocks to estimate monthly volatility. We compare the ACD-ICV estimates against the realized volatility (RV) and the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) estimates. Our Monte Carlo experiments and empirical results on stock data of the New York Stock Exchange show that the ACD-ICV method performs very well against the other two methods. As a 30-day volatility predictor, the Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) predicts the ACD-ICV volatility estimates better than the RV estimates. While the RV method appears to dominate the literature, the GARCH method based on aggregating daily conditional variance over a month performs well against the RV method.

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My dissertation consists of three essays which contribute new theoretical and em- pirical results to Volatility Estimation and Market Microstructure theory as well as Risk Management. Chapter 2 extends the ACD-ICV method proposed by Tse and Yang (2012) for the estimation of intraday volatility of stocks to estimate monthly volatility. We compare the ACD-ICV estimates against the realized volatility (RV) and the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) estimates. Our Monte Carlo experiments and empirical results on stock data of the New York Stock Exchange show that the ACD-ICV method performs very well against the other two methods. As a 30-day volatility predictor, the Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) predicts the ACD-ICV volatility estimates better than the RV estimates. While the RV method appears to dominate the literature, the GARCH method based on aggregating daily conditional variance over a month performs well against the RV method.

Keywords

Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticityVolatility (finance)EconometricsEconomicsRealized varianceHeteroscedasticityStock exchangeFinancial economics

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