A Method for Assessing a Causation Factor for a Geometrical MDTC Model for Ship-Ship Collision Probability Estimation
TL;DRAbstract
The MDTC (Minimum Distance To Collision) model for ship-ship collision probability estimation is a geometrical model, with a detailed description given in the following papers: (Montewka et al. 2010), (Montewka et al. 2011). In order to provide the probability of an accident, the model uses the commonly adopted approach, which combines a frequency of ship-ship meeting situations given an assumption of blind navigation, and a causation factor, which quantifies the proportion of cases in which such a meeting ends up as a collision, due to human or technical reasons.
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The MDTC (Minimum Distance To Collision) model for ship-ship collision probability estimation is a geometrical model, with a detailed description given in the following papers: (Montewka et al. 2010), (Montewka et al. 2011). In order to provide the probability of an accident, the model uses the commonly adopted approach, which combines a frequency of ship-ship meeting situations given an assumption of blind navigation, and a causation factor, which quantifies the proportion of cases in which such a meeting ends up as a collision, due to human or technical reasons.
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