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基于GM(1,1)灰色模型的湖南省人口规模预测研究

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TL;DRAbstract

Population growth, resource depletion, environmental pollution is a major issue, while the population problem is a premise on the sustainable development of population, resources and environment. Whether population size is reasonable has an further impact on the resource, environmental, economic and social sustainable development. With consideration of the characteristics of insufficient information of population prediction, using GM (1, 1) grey growth model, a scientific population prediction from 2009 to 2020 year was made. Based on the analyzing the problem of population development in Hunan Province, countermeasures were tentatively put forward. It aimed to give a reference to make relevant social-economic development strategy and plan, and achieve sustainable development between population, resources and environment in the new historical period.

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Population growth, resource depletion, environmental pollution is a major issue, while the population problem is a premise on the sustainable development of population, resources and environment. Whether population size is reasonable has an further impact on the resource, environmental, economic and social sustainable development. With consideration of the characteristics of insufficient information of population prediction, using GM (1, 1) grey growth model, a scientific population prediction from 2009 to 2020 year was made. Based on the analyzing the problem of population development in Hunan Province, countermeasures were tentatively put forward. It aimed to give a reference to make relevant social-economic development strategy and plan, and achieve sustainable development between population, resources and environment in the new historical period.

Keywords

Sustainable developmentPopulationResource (disambiguation)PremiseEnvironmental pollutionPopulation growthEnvironmental resource managementNatural resource economics

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