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Spatial variability of sea level change

Claus W. Böning,Mojib Latif-2011-01-01-Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR)

TL;DRAbstract

Globally averaged sea level has risen by just under 10 cm during the last 50 years as a consequence
\nof global warming. The rise, however, is not uniform, neither in time nor in space.
\nNatural climate fluctuations and associated changes in the ocean currents have contributed to
\nthe inhomogeneity and is an important factor which will determine the pattern of future sea
\nlevel rise. While research in the past years has focused on the global-mean trend and its attribution
\nto the melting of glaciers and the thermal expansion of sea water under global warming,
\nattention is shifting to the geographical pattern of sea level change. This is essential for coastal
\nimpact assessments, but has not been practical yet because ocean projections from current
\nclimate models widely diverge. The improvement of regional sea level prediction requires a
\nbetter understanding of the underlying dynamical causes.

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Globally averaged sea level has risen by just under 10 cm during the last 50 years as a consequence
\nof global warming. The rise, however, is not uniform, neither in time nor in space.
\nNatural climate fluctuations and associated changes in the ocean currents have contributed to
\nthe inhomogeneity and is an important factor which will determine the pattern of future sea
\nlevel rise. While research in the past years has focused on the global-mean trend and its attribution
\nto the melting of glaciers and the thermal expansion of sea water under global warming,
\nattention is shifting to the geographical pattern of sea level change. This is essential for coastal
\nimpact assessments, but has not been practical yet because ocean projections from current
\nclimate models widely diverge. The improvement of regional sea level prediction requires a
\nbetter understanding of the underlying dynamical causes.

Keywords

ClimatologyClimate changeGlobal warmingSea levelGlacierEnvironmental scienceSea level riseCurrent (fluid)

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